Electoral violence in ethnically divided societies erupts when elections become ethnic head counts.

Evidence

Elections hold the potential for fueling violence in ethnically divided societies when leaders suddenly become reliant on securing popular support (Mann, 2005; Snyder, 2000), and the ballot box offers no institutional protection for the minority against majority rule. Electoral violence, levied to influence electoral results or to protest announced results, often erupts along ethnic lines as electoral dynamics tilt towards ‘ethnic head counts’ (Chandra, 2004; Kuhn, 2015). — Johan Brosché and Hanne Fjelde and Kristine Höglund, Electoral violence and the legacy of…, 14

Categorization

  • XREF: Echoes the threatened-privilege mobilization literature the reader is testing: majority ethnic groups winning ‘head counts’ face zero-sum stakes that map onto the reader’s status-threat frame across identity axes. — connects to: In divided societies, voter turnout may matter more than ideological conviction. — Cathy Gormley-Heenan and Roger Macginty, Ethnic Outbidding and Party…, 79; Preventing ethnic dominance reduces electoral violence during democratic transitions — Johan Brosché and Hanne Fjelde and Kristine Höglund, Electoral violence and the legacy of…, 87; Authoritarian regimes’ breadth of ethnic inclusion shapes post-transition electoral violence risk. — Johan Brosché and Hanne Fjelde and Kristine Höglund, Electoral violence and the legacy of…, 10 (+5 more)

Broader Connections