A threat only coerces when the threatener has visibly left himself no choice

Evidence

The distinctive character of a threat is that one asserts that he will do, in a contingency, what he would manifestly prefer not to do if the contingency occurred, the contingency being governed by the second party’s behavior. Like the ordinary commitment, the threat is a surrender of choice, a renunciation of alternatives, that makes one worse off than he need be in the event the tactic fails; the threat and the commitment are both motivated by the possibility that a rational second player can be constrained by his knowledge that the first player has altered his own incentive structure. Like an ordinary commitment, a threat can constrain the other player only insofar as it carries to the other player at least some appearance of obligation; if I threaten to blow us both to bits unless you close the window, you know that I won’t unless I have somehow managed to leave myself no choice in the matter. — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 293

Categorization

  • DEFINE: Precise definitional distinction between a threat and an ordinary commitment: threat fixes a course of reaction to the other’s behavior, commitment fixes a first-move course.
  • XREF: This is the constraint mechanism behind the Don’s Godfather-bonds — his reputation makes carrying out a threat obligatory-like, matching Milgrom’s private-judge enforcement logic. — connects to: A deterrent threat is only credible if control over its triggering is partly surrendered. — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 429; A threat binds only if the other believes it cannot be retracted — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 297; A threat to act is only credible if one is committed, not merely willing — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 414 (+2 more)

Broader Connections