One player’s promise can worsen the other player’s position

Evidence

It also explains why a “promise” to abstain from a choice that would damage the other player may not be welcomed by him. A promise that permits him safely to make a particular choice may assure us that he would make it, so that we can count on it and make some prior choice that is to his disadvantage. — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 787

Categorization

  • XREF: Directly parallels the racketeer/mafia dynamic and the Godfather-bond logic the reader is assembling. — connects to: Even a player sure of his own restraint inherits the other’s amplified fears — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 471; Reformulated claims bargaining gives players perverse incentives to demand everything. — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 627; Commitments, promises, and threats all reduce a player’s own payoffs visibly and irreversibly — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 347 (+4 more)

Broader Connections