Consolidated states face far fewer revolutionary situations than founding regimes do

Evidence

By that time a division had already opened up between states that consolidated early and late. In early consolidators the Dutch Republic, France, and England revolutionary situations regularly accompanied the efforts of rulers to establish central control before 1650. Despite France’s vast divisions in the Fronde, for example, Louis XIV (1643–1715) faced nothing like the many years of revolutionary situations confronted by his royal predecessors during the sixteenth and early seventeenth centuries. — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1058

Categorization

• XREF: Connects to the reader’s interest in regime-capacity — the capacity built by early consolidation suppresses later revolutionary contention, a direct instance of Tilly’s capacity/repertoire link. — connects to: Revolutionary situations concentrate in low-capacity regimes while revolutionary outcomes remain rare everywhere — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 985; Revolutionary situations shift to weaker late-consolidating states after 1800 — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1059; Exclusionary and repressive weak states bred revolution while tolerant ones did not. — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1086 (+5 more)
• corroborated: 2 independent passages support this claim — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1058

Broader Connections

• Regime structure determines revolutionary situation frequency and character #expands (0.88) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1045
• Revolutionary situations shift to weaker late-consolidating states after 1800 #expands (0.85) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1059
• Regime capacity, not just state consolidation, shapes revolutionary coalition frequency and type. #qualifies (0.82) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1043
• Revolutions happen when governmental weakness unblocks pressures, not when they are blocked #expands (0.80)
• Exclusionary and repressive weak states bred revolution while tolerant ones did not. #complicates (0.78) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1086
• Revolutionary situation frequency declined across Europe despite escalating warfare scale #corroborates (0.75) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1060
• State expansion paradoxically reduces effective control and increases reliance on violence #complicates (0.72) — David Theo Goldberg, John Solomos, A Companion to Racial and Ethnic Studies, 1726