Tacit coordination is guess-the-guesser recursion, not prediction of average behavior.

Evidence

It should be emphasized that coordination is not a matter of guessing what the “average man” will do. One is not, in tacit coordination, trying to guess what another will do in an objective situation; one is trying to guess what the other will guess one’s self to guess the other to guess, and so on ad infinitum. — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 224

Categorization

  • DEFINE: Clarifies the epistemic structure distinguishing coordination from ordinary prediction.
  • XREF: connects to: Any mutually recognized cue can become the coordination key — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 147; Coordinate behavior emerges from conventions and impromptu codes without explicit plans — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 206; Tacit coordination works through mutually recognized focal points — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 134 (+1 more)

Broader Connections