Racial-shift reminders shift highly identified Whites toward Trump and against Sanders via status threat.

Evidence

Consistent with our hypothesis, among Whites high in ethnic identification, exposure to the racial shift (vs. control) condition indirectly predicted greater positivity towards Trump (B = 1.98, 95% CI [0.79, 3.66]), greater likelihood of voting for Trump (B = 0.11, 95% CI [0.05, 0.22]), less positivity towards Sanders (B = −1.13, 95% CI [−2.63, −0.04]), less likelihood of voting for Sanders (B = −0.08, 95% CI [−0.17, −0.02]), at CORNELL UNIV on October 21, 2016 gpi. — Brenda Major and Alison Blodorn and Gregory Major Blascovich, The threat of increasing diversity, 53

Categorization

• XREF: Core statistic for the reader’s threatened-privilege replication question: effect operates within-Democratic-primary context, moving voters between Trump and Sanders, which bodes well for generalizing the mechanism beyond a single party line. — connects to: Perceived racial demographic shift may push White Americans toward conservatism. — Maureen A. Craig and Jennifer A. Richeson, On the Precipice of a…, 1; Perceived racial demographic shifts cause a conservative shift in White Americans through group-status threat. — Maureen A. Craig and Jennifer A. Richeson, On the Precipice of a…, 8; Racial status threat may drive conservative shifts even among minorities — Maureen A. Craig and Jennifer A. Richeson, On the Precipice of a…, 94 (+10 more)
• SEED: The fact that the same status-threat lever pulled Whites toward Trump AND away from Sanders in one experiment suggests a possible article angle: threatened-privilege messaging as a single dial that changes which out-group (immigrant vs. economic populist) the identity-voter chooses to reject.

Related

• Perceived racial demographic shift raises White group status threat that drives Trump support. (similarity 0.93)
• Demographic shift reminders backfire among low-identification Whites, shrinking Trump support. (similarity 0.93)
• Racial demographic shift threatens Whites only when they identify strongly with their ethnic group. (similarity 0.93)
• Low-identification Whites show a puzzling backlash AGAINST Trump under racial-shift framing. (similarity 0.92)
• Ethnic identification, not party affiliation, moderates Whites’ threat response. (similarity 0.89)
• Antidiversity rhetoric attracts status-threatened Whites toward the most extreme candidate (similarity 0.88)
• Racial status threat may drive conservative shifts even among minorities (similarity 0.86)
• Status threat from diversity shifts whites rightward regardless of party affiliation. (similarity 0.86)
• Reminding White Americans of shifting racial demographics raises their group status threat. (similarity 0.86)
• Exposure to information about racial demographic change raises Whites’ status threat and conservatism (similarity 0.85)
• Brenda Major and Alison Blodorn and Gregory Major Blascovich — The threat of increasing diversity Why many White Americans support Trump in the 2016 presidential election (similarity 0.85)
• Ethnic identification amplifies white support for anti-immigrant policies under diversity threat cues (similarity 0.84)
• Shrinking numerical majority makes White identity salient and politically mobilizing (similarity 0.84)
• Perceived racial demographic shifts cause a conservative shift in White Americans through group-status threat. (similarity 0.84)
• Perceived racial demographic shift may push White Americans toward conservatism. (similarity 0.83)

Broader Connections

• Low-identification Whites show a puzzling backlash AGAINST Trump under racial-shift framing. #contradicts (0.95) — Brenda Major and Alison Blodorn and Gregory Major Blascovich, The threat of increasing diversity, 56
• Status threat from diversity shifts whites rightward regardless of party affiliation. #expands (0.80) — Brenda Major and Alison Blodorn and Gregory Major Blascovich, The threat of increasing diversity, 66
• Perceived loss of white Christian status, not economics, drove Trump support #qualifies (0.75) — Kristin Kobes Du Mez, Jesus and John Wayne, 603
• Ethnic identification, not party affiliation, moderates Whites’ threat response. #qualifies (0.70) — Brenda Major and Alison Blodorn and Gregory Major Blascovich, The threat of increasing diversity, 21