People often resist or reverse belief updating rather than tracking evidence

Evidence

It turns out, though, that in many instances people seem to be doing the complete opposite of what the good reverend Thomas Bayes would have predicted: instead of updating toward the evidence, people either do not update their beliefs, or actually update away from the evidence. The ‘post-truth’ era has fundamentally challenged the notion that the brain is fully Bayesian, or the ultimate fact-checker for that matter. — Sander van der Linden, Foolproof, 104

Categorization

  • XREF: Connects to motivated reasoning and confirmation bias literatures, and to later chapters of this very book on inoculation and misinformation. — connects to: Disconfirming evidence can strengthen rather than weaken committed beliefs. — Philip Mirowski, Never Let a Serious Crisis Go to Waste, 97; Motivated reasoning makes people reject information threatening their values and beliefs. — Anna Merlan, Republic of Lies, 89; Computer-Antichrist rumors grew so common even believers later repudiated them — Michael Barkun, A Culture of Conspiracy: Apocalyptic…, 259 (+28 more)

Broader Connections