Ethnic outbidding intensity fluctuates over a peace process’s timeline, not continuously
Evidence
The elongated and convoluted nature of many peacemaking processes may also provide multiple opportunities for ethnic auctions. Many peace processes provide a series of events (the calling of a ceasefire, peace negotiations, the signing of a peace accord, an election to validate a peace accord) or issues (symbolic and substantive) around which potential ingroup dissenters can mobilize opposition to the process. Opposition to a peace process may quickly develop and shape much of its subsequent direction. In other cases, wouldbe opponents may sit on the sidelines and intervene when the peace process or accord implementation encounters difficulties. Thus, the intensity of outbidding is likely to alter during the lifetime of a peace process. While parties within the same meta-group may maintain a long-term contest with regards to the best strategy towards a peace process, this ‘auction’ is likely to vary in intensity of bidding over time. — Cathy Gormley-Heenan and Roger Macginty, Ethnic Outbidding and Party…, 45
Categorization
- XREF: connects to: Outbidding impacts on peace accords form a graded spectrum from collapse to symbolic modification. — Cathy Gormley-Heenan and Roger Macginty, Ethnic Outbidding and Party…, 64; Outbidding is context dependent and can phase-shift toward moderation after in-group victory — Cathy Gormley-Heenan and Roger Macginty, Ethnic Outbidding and Party…, 69; Hardline ethnic parties can modernize and thrive in peace processes. — Cathy Gormley-Heenan and Roger Macginty, Ethnic Outbidding and Party…, 73 (+1 more)
Related
- Outbidding aims range from accord collapse to full acceptance (similarity 0.87)
- Outbidding’s impact on peace accords depends on pro-accord blocs’ capacity to withstand internal pressure. (similarity 0.87)
- Outbidding impacts on peace accords form a graded spectrum from collapse to symbolic modification. (similarity 0.87)
- Ethnic outbidding is intra-bloc competition that blocks inter-group compromise. (similarity 0.84)
- Ethnic outbidding can be modulated and coexist with party modernization (similarity 0.84)
- Outbidding is context dependent and can phase-shift toward moderation after in-group victory (similarity 0.84)
- Hardline ethnic parties can modernize and thrive in peace processes. (similarity 0.83)
- Outbidders may damage a peace process only as a byproduct of attacking intragroup rivals. (similarity 0.83)
- Outbidding can backfire by strengthening moderates or branding challengers as spoilers (similarity 0.81)
- Ethnonational parties can simultaneously outbid rivals and modernize (similarity 0.81)
- Ethnic parties shift toward moderation only after securing dominance over in-group rivals (similarity 0.78)
- Parties can wield elections as outbidding instruments against peace processes (similarity 0.78)
Broader Connections
- Outbidding is context dependent and can phase-shift toward moderation after in-group victory
#corroborates(0.92) — Cathy Gormley-Heenan and Roger Macginty, Ethnic Outbidding and Party…, 69 - Outbidding impacts on peace accords form a graded spectrum from collapse to symbolic modification.
#expands(0.90) — Cathy Gormley-Heenan and Roger Macginty, Ethnic Outbidding and Party…, 64 - Hardline ethnic parties can modernize and thrive in peace processes.
#corroborates(0.80) — Cathy Gormley-Heenan and Roger Macginty, Ethnic Outbidding and Party…, 73