A revolutionary situation’s outcome depends on prevailing regimes and repertoires.

Evidence

By now we understand that revolutionary movements arise all over the world, and have been arising for centuries, but that most of them fail to produce revolutionary transfers of power. The question we must answer is, given a revolutionary situation, what processes cause defections of regime members, acquisition of armed force by revolutionary coalitions, neutralization or defection of the regime’s armed force, and acquisition of control over the state apparatus by members of a revolutionary coalition? By now we also know the most general answer: that it depends on prevailing regimes and repertoires. Which processes produce these outcomes therefore vary and change historically. — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1088

Categorization

• corroborated: 2 independent passages support this claim — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1088
• XREF: connects to: A semi-revolutionary juncture can yield negotiated compromise rather than overthrow — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 587; A small repertoire of performances can weave into widespread rebellion. — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 610; A revolution combines a divided regime with a shift to new rulers — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 969 (+7 more)

Broader Connections

• Regime structure determines revolutionary situation frequency and character #expands (0.85) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1045
• Regime-specific histories shape the repertoires available to social movements. #corroborates (0.82) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 1172
• A regime’s prior trajectory shapes its present repertoires #expands (0.78) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 683