Initial conditions shape but do not determine contention outcomes across regimes

Evidence

Initial conditions shape subsequent processes, but do not determine them. POS and repertoires vary in characteristic ways from one type of regime to another, and therefore produce differences in initial propensities to different forms of collective violence. — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 816

Categorization

• XREF: Reader’s extension test needs this as the bridge: POS-repertoire variation by regime type is the formal claim connecting regime matrix to contention forms. — connects to: Regime capacity shapes how contention is channeled between prescribed, tolerated, and forbidden performances — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 484; Tilly’s regime-contention model generalizes across states via adjusted mapping. — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 663; Initial conditions shape but do not determine contentious processes — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 815 (+7 more)
• corroborated: 2 independent passages support this claim — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 816

Broader Connections

• Initial conditions shape but do not determine contentious processes #expands (0.92) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 815
• Path dependence plus recurrent mechanisms jointly explain contention’s regularities. #qualifies (0.82) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 366
• Contention is not a hydraulic response to pressure but shaped by prior institutions #expands (0.80) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 631
• Contention forms are regime-bound but also historically embedded #expands (0.78) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 231
• War outcomes are unpredictable from force composition comparisons #corroborates (0.76) — John T. Jost and Jim Sidanius, Political Psychology, 2593
• Prior regime conduct determined whether parties collapsed or negotiated transitions #exemplifies (0.75) — Anna M. Grzymala-Busse, Redeeming The Communist Past, 100