The full Southern Democratic decline is attributable to conservative-race defection alone
Evidence
We find that defection among racially conservative whites explains all (three-fourths) of the decline in relative white Southern Democratic identification between 1958 and 1980 (2000). — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 7
Categorization
- XREF: Direct empirical test of the threatened-privilege mechanism: the entire dealignment is driven by one attitudinally-defined subgroup, not by economic or polarization trends — strongly consistent with privilege-threat mobilization rather than diffuse causes. — connects to: Racially conservative Southern whites defecting explains all of the 1958-1980 Democratic decline — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 7; Racially conservative white Southerners abandoned Democratic identification after 1964. — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 1327; Economic class, not racial anger, fails to explain Southern Democratic defection. — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 940 (+5 more)
Broader Connections
- Racially conservative white Southerners abandoned Democratic identification after 1964.
#corroborates(1.00) — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 1327 - Racially conservative whites’ defection drove the Southern realignment
#corroborates(1.00) - Southern economic catch-up could independently explain realignment away from Democrats.
#contradicts(0.90) — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 43 - Economic class, not racial anger, fails to explain Southern Democratic defection.
#corroborates(0.85) — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 940 - Conservative racial views predicted Democratic identity among Southern whites only before 1963
#corroborates(0.75) — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 7 - Southern whites opposed to integration were staunchly Democratic before 1964.
#corroborates(0.70) — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 1333