Conservative racial views predicted Democratic identity among Southern whites only before 1963

Evidence

From 1958 to 1961, conservative racial views strongly predict Democratic identification among Southern whites, a correlation that disappears after President Kennedy introduces sweeping Civil Rights legislation in 1963. — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 7

Categorization

• XREF: The 1963 Kennedy legislative signal, not the 1964/65 Acts, is the precipitating event — supports the anticipatory-status-threat mechanism over actual material loss. Echoes the reader’s exact research question about anticipatory threat converting to mobilized identity. — connects to: Racially conservative white Southerners abandoned Democratic identification after 1964. — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 1327; Southern whites opposed to integration were staunchly Democratic before 1964. — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 1333; Racially conservative whites’ defection drove the Southern realignment (+5 more)

Broader Connections

• Racially conservative white Southerners abandoned Democratic identification after 1964. #corroborates (0.90) — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 1327
• Southern whites opposed to integration were staunchly Democratic before 1964. #corroborates (0.90) — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 1333
• Racially conservative whites’ defection drove the Southern realignment #expands (0.85)
• Democratic identification among Southern whites fell a full 17 percentage points #exemplifies (0.80) — Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington, Why Did the Democrats Lose the South?…, 82
• Civil-rights-era policy shifts drove southern whites into the Republican Party #qualifies (0.80) — Kristin Kobes Du Mez, Jesus and John Wayne, 105
• National anti-welfare conservatism channeled prior racial resentment #complicates (0.70) — Kevin M. Kruse, White Flight, 587