Soustelle predicted France would lose Algeria on the home front, not militarily.

Evidence

Though the immediate cause of his defeat was the financial crisis in France, as always the dominant background factor was Algeria. “It is one of the characteristics of our regime”, remarked Jacques Soustelle in his book, Aimée et Souffrante Algérie, published that same year, “that no issue, however vital to the nation, is ever treated fundamentally and on its own account, but as a function of other questions and above all of the parliamentary situation”. He went on to predict, with some accuracy, that Algeria would be lost “not from a collapse on the military front in Algeria, but on the interior front in France”. — Horne, Alistair, A Savage War of Peace- Algeria 1954-1962, 749

Categorization

• XREF: Reinforces the reader’s theme of France fighting the colonial idea on the metropolitan interior front. — connects to: French workers’ domestic resistance to capitalism shortened Algeria’s war; Torture’s contested truth made it a lasting canker for France; The asymetric strengths of France and the F.L.N. reversed across the home-abroad divide. (+6 more)

Related

• Algeria would be lost on France’s interior political front, not on the military front (similarity 0.95)
• Winning militarily while losing politically doomed the French army in Algeria (similarity 0.87)
• Defeat in Algeria paradoxically produced a stronger France (similarity 0.87)
• French workers’ domestic resistance to capitalism shortened Algeria’s war (similarity 0.85)
• The French army won militarily while losing the political and world battle (similarity 0.84)
• France ending Algeria was a victory over itself, not a defeat (similarity 0.84)
• Algeria’s loss paradoxically produced a stronger postcolonial France (similarity 0.84)
• Colonial military dominance ceased to be decisive in Algeria’s war. (similarity 0.84)
• France’s Algerian military dominance coexisted with its political weakness at home (similarity 0.83)
• By late 1956 both France’s military and diplomatic options in Algeria had failed (similarity 0.83)
• The Battle of Algiers marked the end of any possibility of negotiated settlement (similarity 0.83)
• Military victory elevated the army to ultimate political arbiter in Algeria (similarity 0.83)
• The French army in Algeria transformed from clumsy to effective by 1956 (similarity 0.82)
• The French army’s 1940 humiliation fueled its determination not to lose Algeria. (similarity 0.82)
• France believed wrongly that toppling Nasser would collapse the Algerian revolt. (similarity 0.81)

Broader Connections

• Winning militarily while losing politically doomed the French army in Algeria #corroborates (0.85)
• France’s Algerian military dominance coexisted with its political weakness at home #corroborates (0.80)
• France ending Algeria was a victory over itself, not a defeat #corroborates (0.70)
• Defeat in Algeria paradoxically produced a stronger France #complicates (0.60)