Regime-internal shifts, not challenger agency or external pressure, initiate repertoire change

Evidence

Here we see only the dominant causal links: governmental changes that alter relations between the government and major political actors (for example, organized Afrikaners); shifting relations within the regime that transform POS for challengers such as the ANC, UDF, and COSATU or local-level Comrades; mutations of contention that result from changes in POS; plus feedback from contention to governmental changes and relational shifts within the regime. … Although the government played a major part in initiating its own overturn, shifts within the regime over which the government exercised only partial control altered political opportunities for challengers. New forms of contention then transformed the regime. — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 657

Categorization

• DEFINE: Lays out the dominant causal links in Tilly’s regime-contention model: government-actor relations, POS shifts, contention mutations, feedback.
• XREF: The primacy of regime-internal shifts over bottom-up or top-down accounts is the load-bearing claim for the reader’s asymmetry test. Note ‘organized Afrikaners’ are listed as a major political actor whose regime relations shift — a dominant-group actor whose politicization arguably gets channeled through regime structures. — connects to: Regime trajectory changes produce shifts in challengers’ political opportunity structure — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 629; Regime-internal relational shifts drive contention against both bottom-up and top-down causality — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 659; Repertoire change intertwines regime transformation, internal struggle history, and broader social change — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 287 (+8 more)
• corroborated: 2 independent passages support this claim — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 657

Broader Connections

• Regime change drives repertoire change more than popular consciousness does #corroborates (0.92)
• Economic changes affect contention only as filtered through regime change #corroborates (0.85) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 364
• A regime’s prior trajectory shapes its present repertoires #expands (0.80) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 683
• Repertoire change intertwines regime transformation, internal struggle history, and broader social change #qualifies (0.78) — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 287