Migration drives roughly half of Europe’s projected Muslim population growth to 2050.

Evidence

In a projection with no migration, the Muslim share of Europe’s population would be expected to grow from 6% in 2010 to 8% in 2050. When expected migration is factored in, the Muslim share of the population forecast in 2050 rises from 10%.” (p. 150). At first glance, migration may seem to play only a small role in increasing the Muslim population in Europe. However, “about half (53%) of the projected growth of Europe’s Muslim population can be attributed to new migration” (Pew Research Center 2015, 50). — Margaret Hodson, Baby Jihad, 24

Categorization

• XREF: connects to: Europe’s Muslim population reached 18.2 million by 2010 — Green, Todd H, The Fear of Islam_ An Introduction to…, 338; Europe’s Muslim population is projected to reach 29.8 million by 2030 — Green, Todd H, The Fear of Islam_ An Introduction to…, 339; Muslim and Christian population shares will converge by 2060 due to divergent fertility rates. — Margaret Hodson, Baby Jihad, 23 (+4 more)

Broader Connections

• European Muslim populations would keep growing even with zero immigration #qualifies (0.80) — Arsalan Iftikhar, Fear of a Muslim Planet_ Global…, 557
• Demographic projections of Muslim growth are reframed as an intentional weapon against the West. #responds-to (0.50) — Margaret Hodson, Baby Jihad, 27
• Europe’s Muslim population is a decade younger than the non-Muslim median. #expands (0.40) — Arsalan Iftikhar, Fear of a Muslim Planet_ Global…, 546
• European Islamophobia frames Muslim migration as soldiers in a renewed crusade. #responds-to (0.40)