Expert systems cannot validate deterrence, so uncertainty reaches even the laity.
Evidence
How remote that possibility is, literally no one knows. So long as there is deterrence, there must be the chance of war, because the notion of deterrence only makes sense if the parties involved are in principle prepared to use the weaponry they hold. Once again, no one, no matter how “expert” about the logistics of weapons and military organisation or about world politics, can say whether deterrence “works,” because the most that can be said is that so far there has been no war. Awareness of these inherent uncertainties does not escape the lay population, however vague that awareness might be. — Anthony Giddens, The Consequences of Modernity, 352
Categorization
- XREF: This is precisely Luhmann’s point for the reader’s thesis: even the ‘experts’ behind Lord Darlington’s politics cannot genuinely validate the system they claim to guarantee — the ethical void is built into the structure, not merely into Stevens. — connects to: Confidence in expert systems can be catastrophically misplaced — Anthony Giddens, The Consequences of Modernity, 13; Even pragmatic faith in expert systems still implies trust — Anthony Giddens, The Consequences of Modernity, 77; Deterrence works only when fighters can reliably predict battle outcomes (+2 more)
Related
- Even pragmatic faith in expert systems still implies trust (similarity 0.80)
- Modern expert systems allow no one to opt out of their influence. (similarity 0.79)
Broader Connections
- Confidence in expert systems can be catastrophically misplaced
#expands(0.70) — Anthony Giddens, The Consequences of Modernity, 13 - Deterrence works only when fighters can reliably predict battle outcomes
#expands(0.70) - Conflicting expert claims make it hard to know how much trust to vest.
#corroborates(0.70) — Anthony Giddens, The Consequences of Modernity, 354 - Even pragmatic faith in expert systems still implies trust
#expands(0.60) — Anthony Giddens, The Consequences of Modernity, 77 - Deterrence theory rests on flawed assumptions and misrepresented history.
#corroborates(0.50)