The growth and risk of options trading made pricing models indispensable

Evidence

As the options markets grew, and the SEC relaxed, options were traded on more stocks, some no longer ā€œblue chipā€ corporations but high volatility newcomers. More expensive errors made pricing models seem indispensable: ā€œI’ll stand in a pit with [options on] 16 stocks that each trade two [expiry] months and five strike prices and I’ll take anybody on: turn off the lights, I want to trade with no electronics. But when you get to multiple expirations, strike prices, higher volatility stocks … well, volatility changes by 10%, Arco goes from a 15 to a 13.5 [annualized percentage implied volatility], I can do that math in my head. [With a high volatility stock] 150 to 135 seems like it ought to be similar but … I’ve got too much money at risk if I’m wrong in my mental calculationsā€ (Carusillo and Struve interview 1). — Donald MacKenzie & Yuval Millo, Constructing a Market, Performing Theory, 125

Categorization

  • XREF: This is the performativity argument in miniature for MacKenzie’s ā€˜An Engine, Not a Camera’: market complexity created the material need that pricing theory filled. — connects to: Spanning multiple options markets forced firms to adopt pricing models — Donald MacKenzie & Yuval Millo, Constructing a Market, Performing Theory, 121; Trading more volatile stocks made mental pricing calculations riskier and models indispensable — Donald MacKenzie, An Engine, Not a Camera: How Financial…, 750; Options pricing theory grew despite options being a minor financial instrument — Donald MacKenzie, An Engine, Not a Camera: How Financial…, 530 (+1 more)
  • SHARE: This trader quote about mental math — volatility 15 to 13.5 vs 150 to 135 — is a perfect detail for someone working in options or market microstructure.

Broader Connections