Nazi vote-share paths in Danat towns are flat before July 1931.
Evidence
Panel A shows the coeļ¬cient and 90% conļ¬dence interval for regression equation (2), where we use the change in NSDAP vote shares for diļ¬erent federal elections relative to the 1930 results as outcome variables. ā¦ The dependent variable is the NSDAP vote share in each election and danatc is a dummy with a value of one if a city has above-average exposure to or a branch of Danatbank. Regressions include baseline controls interacted with a dummy that is equal to one for the elections after July 1931 and zero otherwise. ā Sebastian Doerr et al., Financial Crises and Politicalā¦, 246
Categorization
- QUESTION: Does an event-study design with pre-1931 election coefficients near zero really rule out pre-existing Nazi strength in Danat towns?
- XREF: This is exactly the robustness check the reader flagged: separating pre-trends from the post-July-1931 break. ā connects to: The Danat-radicalization result survives many robustness checks. ā Sebastian Doerr et al., Financial Crises and Politicalā¦, 39; Danat-exposed cities showed no sharper pre-July-1931 unemployment downturn than other cities. ā Sebastian Doerr et al., Financial Crises and Politicalā¦, 144