The 1987 crash stemmed from ignorance of mechanical selling, not portfolio insurance itself.
Evidence
For Leland, then, the key factor in the 1987 crash was not portfolio insurance per se but lack of awareness of the true extent of portfolio insuranceās āmechanicalā sales. āIf everybody knows that weāre uninformed traders, then people donāt revise their expectations downward when the price falls. They just say things are on sale. Then they will take the other side [i.e. buy] more willingly. If everyone thinks the price is falling because somebody has information, then they wonāt take the other side.ā (Leland interview) The price fall will then be much larger. ā Donald MacKenzie, An Engine, Not a Camera, 871
Categorization
- XREF: Connects to the bookās broader performativity thesis: whether agents āknowā the model affects whether it produces or prevents crashes; also resonates with āthings are on saleā as a liquidity-vs-information distinction in market microstructure literature. ā connects to: Portfolio insurance largely protected client floors even during the 1987 crash ā Donald MacKenzie, An Engine, Not a Camera: How Financialā¦, 841; Portfolio insuranceās inventors concede it helped cause the 1987 crash ā Donald MacKenzie, An Engine, Not a Camera: How Financialā¦, 865; Market infrastructure itself failed under the 1987 crashās order flow ā Donald MacKenzie, An Engine, Not a Camera: How Financialā¦, 820 (+1 more)
- SEED: Essay angle: āthe crash that wasnāt caused by what caused itā ā how misreading mechanical flows as information drives every 1987-style panic, in markets and elsewhere.
Broader Connections
- Portfolio insuranceās inventors concede it helped cause the 1987 crash
#contradicts(0.85) ā Donald MacKenzie, An Engine, Not a Camera, 865 - Market infrastructure itself failed under the 1987 crashās order flow
#responds-to(0.70) ā Donald MacKenzie, An Engine, Not a Camera, 820