Protection markets are mostly deterrence, not cleanup after disputes

Evidence

Most accounts of mafia protection are biased by the way they become known to us, for we usually hear only about those occasions when something goes wrong and blood is spilled. When things go well, there is either nothing to reveal or no reason to reveal it. The picture we get of protection, then, reflects only interventions after the event, after a dispute has arisen or a crime has occurred. But protection is not simply a repressive measure. On the contrary, as we know, its predominant role is one of deterrence. — Diego Gambetta, The Sicilian Mafia The Business of…, 411

Categorization

Category: Causal Relationships

  • XREF: Connects to the reader’s Gambetta model: deterrence is the core private-protection product, with dispute settlement only the visible residual — mirrors Schelling’s point that observable conflict is the failed-deterrence tail.
  • QUESTION: If deterrence dominates, how does one measure the size of a protection market, since the successful cases never surface in records?