Predictive threat-detection rests on epistemologically fragile assumptions
Evidence
Predicting the future is based on knowledge of the past. The archives of lives constitute the basis for claims that, by noting regularities and anticipating recurrences, it is possible both to predict the future and to change the course of it by taking preemptive action. Such claims are clearly founded upon very fragile epistemological bases, which in no way prevents them from being extremely dangerous but, on the contrary, ensures that they are. — Grégoire Chamayou, A Theory of the Drone, 198
Categorization
- SEED: Article angle: how fragile predictive epistemologies become more dangerous, not less, when they underwrite preemptive lethal action.
- XREF: connects to: Pattern-of-life strikes kill civilians through unconfirmed behavioral inference; Preemptive drone targeting rests on epistemologically fragile predictions; Signature strikes kill based on behavior patterns, not confirmed identity (+9 more)
Related
- Preemptive drone targeting rests on epistemologically fragile predictions (similarity 0.91)
- Drone targeting decisions rest on probabilistic inference from behavior rather than observed facts. (similarity 0.84)
- Preemptive drone strikes rest on fragile and therefore dangerous prediction claims. (similarity 0.84)
- Pattern-of-life strikes kill civilians through unconfirmed behavioral inference (similarity 0.80)
- Signature strikes kill based on behavior patterns, not confirmed identity (similarity 0.78)
- Administrative alarm hinged on predicting contagious parental sentiment (similarity 0.78)
Broader Connections
- Confidence in expert systems can be catastrophically misplaced
#corroborates(0.82) — Anthony Giddens, The Consequences of Modernity, 13