Post-Cold War events largely followed predictions derived from civilizational identity

Evidence

Many important developments after the end of the Cold War were compatible with the civilizational paradigm and could have been predicted from it. These include: the breakup of the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia; the wars going on in their former territories; the rise of religious fundamentalism throughout the world; the struggles within Russia, Turkey, and Mexico over their identity; the intensity of the trade conflicts between the United States and Japan; the resistance of Islamic states to Western pressure on Iraq and Libya; the efforts of Islamic and Confucian states to acquire nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them; China’s continuing role as an “outsider” great power; the consolidation of new democratic regimes in some countries and not in others; and the developing arms competition in East Asia. — Samuel P. Huntington, The Clash of Civilizations and the…, 80

Categorization

• XREF: connects to: NATO stayed cohesive despite neorealist predictions of its collapse — Robert B. McCalla, NATO’s persistence after the cold war, 57; Post-Cold War conflict was framed by Huntington as civilizational cultural clash — Sarah Bracke and Luis Manuel Hernández Aguilar, “They Love Death as We Love Life”: The…, 174; Post-Cold War conventional wisdom held history had ended in Western victory — Vincent Bevins, If We Burn: The Mass Protest Decade and…, 156