Local experts contradict each other when each has interests at stake.

Evidence

The old hunter acrimoniously said he “must speak the truth,” the miner was directing me over a track where for twenty-five miles there was not a house, and where, if snow came on, I should never be heard of again. The miner said he “must speak the truth,” the hunter was directing me over a pass where there were five feet of snow, and no trail. — Isabella L. Bird, A Lady’s Life in the Rocky Mountains, 183

Categorization

  • XREF: Echoes the Milgrom/Champagne Fairs material on reputation and self-interested testimony — here expertise is undone by conflicting incentives rather than missing information. — connects to: Conflicting expert claims make it hard to know how much trust to vest. — Anthony Giddens, The Consequences of Modernity, 354; Theorists’ political loyalties and productive interests can violently contradict each other; Direct confrontation between philosophers can leave both parties puzzled and affronted — Sarah Bakewell, At the Existentialist CafĂ©: Freedom,…, 279 (+16 more)
  • SEED: An essay on how contradictory local advice is a signal of conflicting utility, not of insufficient knowledge — travel-writing angle.

Broader Connections