Domestic minority unrest can motivate states to trade away foreign policy commitments

Evidence

Different European approaches may be envisaged. In the most likely approach, European governments may conclude that a pro-Arab policy should prevail over support for Israel. The theory would be that conciliatory foreign policy toward Muslim Arab States will make it easier to manage relations with European-based Muslim communities. A foreign policy retreat, withdrawing support from Israel, would be the perceived pay-off for internal European social peace. — Michael A. Reynolds and Thomas D. Grant, The Future of Europe and Its Muslims, 340

Categorization

• XREF: Connects to the base-politics material on how host-nation politics constrain and reshape US strategic posture; also to arguments that overseas-basing protest feeds into alliance bargaining.
• SEED: Angle: ‘What a country will sell abroad to buy quiet at home’ — how domestic constituency management becomes the hidden driver of foreign policy retreats.