Danat-connected firms cut wage bills far more than matched city and industry peers
Evidence
Table 8, column (1) shows that ļ¬rms with Danat connections reduced their total wage bill by 26.9% more than ļ¬rms not connected to Danat. The coeļ¬cient is signiļ¬cant at the 1% level. In column (2), we add pre-crisis ļ¬rm controls and ļ¬nd a highly signiļ¬cant negative coeļ¬cient of -21.3%. To control for unobservable industry-level shocks, column (3) adds dummies for 20 distinct industries. The coeļ¬cient on Danat remains signiļ¬cant at the 1% level and basically identical to columns (1) and (2), despite the fact that R2 ⦠In columns (4)ā(5) we further add city ļ¬xed eļ¬ects to control for unobservable shocks to ļ¬rms within the same city. We ļ¬rst replicate the speciļ¬cation in column (3) for the sample of cities with more than one ļ¬rm in column (4), which results in 194 observations. The coeļ¬cient remains identical in size and is signiļ¬cant at the 5% level. In column (5), we add city ļ¬xed eļ¬ects. Essentially, we are now comparing Danat-connected ļ¬rms to other ļ¬rms in the same city and industry. Despite the demanding ļ¬xed eļ¬ects estimation, the coeļ¬cient remains signiļ¬cant and does not change in sign or size relative to column (4), while R2 increases from 0.12 to 0.42. The fact that controlling for observable precrisis ļ¬rm characteristics and unobservable shocks at the industry and city levels does not aļ¬ect our coeļ¬cients in a statistically or economically meaningful way (despite a large increase in R2) suggests that unobservable diļ¬erences are unlikely to be a major concern (Altonji et al., 2005; Oster, 2019). ā Sebastian Doerr et al., Financial Crises and Politicalā¦, 135
Categorization
- QUESTION: The R2 text is cut mid-sentence in the paragraph (ādespite the fact that R2ā) ā worth flagging whether the original is truncated.
- XREF: connects to: Anti-finance sentiment alone cannot explain the Danat effect on Nazi voting ā Sebastian Doerr et al., Financial Crises and Politicalā¦, 141
Related
- Both Danat and Dresdner failures cut connected firmsā wage bills. (similarity 0.81)
- Wage contraction persists comparing firms within the same city and industry. (similarity 0.80)
- Exposure to Danatbank failure raised Nazi vote shares by roughly 3 percentage points (similarity 0.79)
- Pre-1921 Danat exposure predicts identical effects to later connections. (similarity 0.79)