Cooperation survives even when cheating pays hugely and system costs are steep.

Evidence

I can, however, also choose to take the risk of cooperating with you on some matter even if I do not trust you. While he was the prime minister of Israel, Ehud Barak, when asked if he trusted Yassir Arafat, said, “I don’t know what it means to trust. He is the Palestinian leader, not the Israeli leader, and he is determined to do whatever he can to achieve Palestinian objectives. The real question is not whether we trust him. The question is whether there is a potential agreement that could be better overall for both sides, a win-win, not a zero-sum game” (quoted in Goldberg 2001, 66). Cooperation or coordination is the general goal, but there are many ways to achieve it, some of which do not depend on trust. Hence my actions are not simply determined by the degree of my trust, although they are often likely to be influenced by my trust or distrust. — Russell Hardin, Trust and Trustworthiness, 100 (#expands, via linked claim)

In addition, we require a theory of how to act on relevant streetlevel knowledge. I presume here that this theory of decision is a simple commonsense learning theory. You may start with such limited information about me that you can only estimate the likelihood that the typical person in my position would be trustworthy with respect to what you might entrust to me. You might even have such limited information about me that you can only assess from your past experience whether cooperation has paid off in similar circumstances. Suppose it did, and now you risk cooperating with me. (This is not to say you choose to trust me. Rather, gambling on me seems to you the rational thing to do.) You either gain or lose from your cooperation, and this experience is added to your evidence on trustworthiness for future occasions. If I am somehow a new kind of person in your experience, your initial estimate may be unstable, and my behavior might tilt your assessment heavily for or against my kind in future encounters. — Russell Hardin, Trust and Trustworthiness, 536 (#corroborates, via linked claim)

What is at issue is not the importance of exploring in greater depth the causality of those forms of cooperation which are independent of trust — Diego Gambetta, Trust - Making and Breaking Cooperative…, 2830 (#expands, via linked claim)

Categorization

Category: Causal Relationships

Broader Connections