Western control of power resources peaked in the 1920s and is declining
Evidence
In sum, overall the West will remain the most powerful civilization well into the early decades of the twenty-first century. Beyond then it will probably continue to have a substantial lead in scientific talent, research and development capabilities, and civilian and military technological innovation. Control over the other power resources, however, is becoming increasingly dispersed among the core states and leading countries of non-Western civilizations. The West’s control of these resources peaked in the 1920s and has since been declining irregularly but significantly. In the 2020s, a hundred years after that peak, the West will probably control about 24 percent of the world’s territory (down from a peak of 49 percent), 10 percent of the total world population (down from 48 percent) and perhaps 15–20 percent of the socially mobilized population, about 30 percent of the world’s economic product (down from a peak of probably 70 percent), perhaps 25 percent of manufacturing output (down from a peak of 84 percent), and less than 10 percent of global military manpower (down from 45 percent). — Samuel P. Huntington, The Clash of Civilizations and the…, 248
Categorization
- QUESTION: Whether Huntington’s 2020s projections actually materialized (especially the 24% territory and 30% economic product numbers) would be worth checking against current data.
- corroborated: 2 independent passages support this claim — Samuel P. Huntington, The Clash of Civilizations and the…, 248