Visible exogenous distrust parameters still leave amplifying interaction to explain

Evidence

These two parameters, Pc and Pr, are assumed to be plainly visible to the two players; there is nothing secret or conjectural about them. This assumption might seem to beg the question we are trying to answer, but it does not. These two exogenous likelihoods of attack do not by themselves indicate what the probability is that the players will in fact attack. They are only one element. The problem is to see whether, given these basic sources of uncertainty, the interaction of the two players’ expectations generate additional motive to attack. — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 470

Categorization

• XREF: The ‘objective source → subjective anxiety superstructure’ move parallels the reader’s project of grounding private-enforcement norms in minimal observable commitments. — connects to: Distrust becomes socially visible through distrustful behavior — Niklas Luhmann, Trust and Power, 271

Broader Connections

• Distrust becomes socially visible through distrustful behavior #qualifies (0.70) — Niklas Luhmann, Trust and Power, 271