Truss’s market crash was a collateral-driven doom-loop from prior derivatives bets
Evidence
The reason the bottom fell from the UK’s bond (or gilt) market, in response to Truss’s announcement, was a landmine buried in the City during the years of socialism-for-the-bankers: the derivatives UK pension funds had massively invested in, to hedge against inflation and higher interest rates – derivatives they could not afford except by borrowing against their stock of UK government gilts. So, when the news came in that Truss was planning to issue more gilts to pay for large tax cuts, without frontloading austerity, the price of gilts fell and, suddenly, pension funds had to post more cash to cover the debt they had incurred to buy the derivatives. In a state of panic, they sold the only liquid asset they had: gilts! And so the doom-loop began until the Bank of England intervened and Liz Truss left 10 Downing Street in disgrace. — Yanis Varoufakis, Technofeudalism, 950
Categorization
- DEFINE: Concretely illustrates margin-call doom-loops: falling collateral forces liquidating the very asset whose fall causes the collateral shortfall.
- SHARE: Send to anyone who works in finance or follows markets — it is the cleanest plain-language explanation of the pension-derivatives doom-loop yet.
- corroborated: 2 independent passages support this claim — Yanis Varoufakis, Technofeudalism: What Killed Capitalism, 950
- XREF: connects to: Sudden margin hikes can trigger forced sales that amplify the very volatility causing them — Donald MacKenzie, An Engine, Not a Camera: How Financial…, 941; Derivatives are speculative techniques betting on future asset-price movements — Max Haiven, Cultures of Financialization, 153; Compressed decision time makes financial markets prone to cascading collapse — David Harvey, The Condition of Postmodernity: An…, 1938 (+2 more)
Broader Connections
- Derivatives inverted from insurance into engines that increase volatility exposure.
#expands(0.78) — Aris Komporozos-Athanasiou, Speculative Communities, 91 - Derivatives are speculative techniques betting on future asset-price movements
#expands(0.75) — Max Haiven, Cultures of Financialization, 153 - Compressed decision time makes financial markets prone to cascading collapse
#expands(0.75) — David Harvey, The Condition of Postmodernity, 1938