The same observable behavior can stem from opposite motivations

Evidence

My good colleague Jamie Druckman, a Professor of Political Science at Northwestern University, Illinois, refers to this as the ‘observational equivalence problem’. Just by looking at someone’s behaviour it is difficult to know what motivates them. Is it accuracy or something else? — Sander van der Linden, Foolproof, 128

Categorization

  • DEFINE: Defines the ‘observational equivalence problem’ as behavior cannot reveal motivation — a crisp methodological term.
  • XREF: This mirrors the confirmation-bias material in Trust: Making and Breaking Cooperative Relations where context shapes how communications are read, and the wage-vs-sentiment debates. — connects to: Ambiguity in inferred reward functions is usually harmless behaviorally — Brian Christian, The Alignment Problem, 1102; Opposed behaviors like miserliness and prodigality share a single root impulse — Georg Simmel, on individuality and social forms_…, 462; Structural evidence alone cannot prove that distinct emotions drive distinct behaviors (+6 more)

Broader Connections