The mortgage interest deduction is capitalized into home prices by 1 to 13 percent.

Evidence

The real estate lobby is powerful, however, and here’s how they will likely argue against neutrality: Any repeal of the mortgage interest deduction will have consequences for current home values. The price of the mortgage interest deduction is believed to be factored into the price of homes by anywhere from 1 percent to 13 percent; such a repeal, the lobby would argue, will reduce the value of homes by a comparable amount. (The National Association of Realtors estimates a 10 percent decline, while the Council of Economic Advisers says the impact is likely to be merely “modest.”) History has shown us that stoking fear in white homeowners is a powerful tool, and one that the real estate industry has used freely. — Dorothy A. Brown, The Whiteness of Wealth, 232

Categorization

Category: Factual Claims

  • SHARE: The NAR (10%) vs CEA (modest) split on repeal’s price impact is a sharp data point for someone in tax policy or housing.