The Egyptian withdrawal threatened to spark clan wars and Abyssinian expansion.

Evidence

By this time, the vicious border war between Eritrea and Ethiopia had been dragging on for over a year without resolution. Naturally, it began to have an impact on neighbouring states and, with the volume of Ethiopian trade passing through its port, Djibouti was accused by Eritrea of supporting its enemy. The last thing the new Djibouti President wanted was for the war to spill over into his territory, an event threatened by the presence of Somali ā€˜Ise clansmen in Ethiopia, and of Afar in both Ethiopia and Eritrea. — I.M. Lewis, I. M. Lewis, A Modern History of the Somali_ Nation…, 673 (#exemplifies, via linked claim)

The writing was now clearly on the wall as far as U.N.O.S.O.M. II was concerned. The announcement of the impending U.S. withdrawal triggered a progressive decline in international support as other national contingents made arrangements to depart while the going was good. In Mogadishu itself, these changes had a destabilizing effect, with clashes between ā€˜Ali Mahdi’s Abgal and ā€˜Aideed’s Habar Gidir supporters. Claiming that ā€˜Aideed intended to seize power when the Americans pulled out, ā€˜Ali Mahdi was threatening to rearm. — I.M. Lewis, I. M. Lewis, A Modern History of the Somali_ Nation…, 640 (#exemplifies, via linked claim)

Categorization

  • XREF: connects to: Regional clan ties threatened to pull Djibouti into the Eritrea-Ethiopia war — I.M. Lewis, I. M. Lewis, A Modern History of the Somali_ Nation…, 673; The US withdrawal announcement triggered UNOSOM II’s collapse and renewed clan fighting. — I.M. Lewis, I. M. Lewis, A Modern History of the Somali_ Nation…, 640

Broader Connections