Race-based risk profiling falsely stereotypes harmless people as threats

Evidence

The likelihood that a particular person will become a terrorist is exceedingly rare. This is why personal and environmental risk factors that are considered in isolation yield high rates of false-positive predictions. These predictions are based largely on categorical indices such as ethnicity, race, religion, and nationality rather than on personal attributes. Such indices treat individuals within these groups as though they all think and behave alike. Thus characterized, many harmless people are stereotyped as dangerous suspects. — Albert Bandura, Moral Disengagement, 2124

Categorization

• XREF: Directly corroborates the vault’s Islamophobia/race-policing claims: categorical profiling of whole ethnic groups used as security proxy is itself a mechanism of rationalizing collective suspicion. — connects to: Dispatcher information loss biased officers toward perceiving Tamir Rice as threatening; Killer profiles generate many false positives and miss most loners; Race-neutral rhetoric coexists with licensed racial profiling for security and policing
• SEED: Angle for an essay: how actuarial security logic manufactures the very group-based suspicion that sustains Islamophobic policy, via categorical rather than personal predictors.
• QUESTION: Want to trace where the ‘overprediction from environmental factors’ analysis went after 9/11 concern-troll debates over profiling — did security agencies acknowledge false-positive rates?
• corroborated: 2 independent passages support this claim — Albert Bandura, Moral Disengagement: How People Do Harm…, 2124