Fragmented secular revolutionary vote split the round and guaranteed an Islamist-regime runoff

Evidence

In the first round Morsi got 25 percent, Shafik received 24 percent, and Sabahi and Fotouh took 21 and 17 percent, respectively. The secular revolutionaries were horrified. The election would come down to a runoff between the Muslim Brotherhood and the old regime. If they had been able to organize a united front, the combined votes for Sabahi and Fotouh would have easily surpassed the numbers earned by Mubarak’s man. — Vincent Bevins, If We Burn, 306

Categorization

  • XREF: Echoes the familiar claim that divided opposition blocs hand victory to a unified antagonist, parallel to center-splitting in democratic theory literature. — connects to: Fragmented secular revolutionaries split their vote and lost to organized blocs — Vincent Bevins, If We Burn: The Mass Protest Decade and…, 306; Political crisis can convert a secular minority into a mobilized religious-civilizational bloc — Samuel P. Huntington, The Clash of Civilizations and the…, 743; Islamists dominated Muslim opposition because liberal and leftist alternatives had collapsed (+1 more)

Broader Connections