Exponential change-time distributions prevent timing strategies because hazard rate is constant

Evidence

The time at which the change occurred (change time ) was drawn randomly from an exponential distribution (mean: 3.2 s) limited to the interval [0, 8] s. This choice of distribution prevents subjects from developing a timing strategy, as the instantaneous probability of a change in the next time step is constant. — Dijk, Pim van, Physiology, Psychoacoustics and…, 3285

Categorization

• XREF: A memoryless (exponential) distribution means no hazard-rate peak, so subjects cannot predict likely change moments; useful design insight applicable to any detection experiment design. — connects to: Sudden death cannot be awaited because it is indeterminate in date — Jean-Paul Sartre, Being and Nothingness: An Essay on…, 1251; Accelerated technical systems carry structurally incalculable breakdown risks — Hartmut Rosa, Social Acceleration: A New Theory of…, 759
• corroborated: 2 independent passages support this claim — Dijk, Pim van, Physiology, Psychoacoustics and…, 3285