Euro appreciation against the dollar penalizes franc zone cotton exporters twice

Evidence

The international price of primary products is often fixed in dollars, which remains the main currency used in international trade. This is the case with cotton. But its price in dollars varies as much as the euro–dollar exchange rate. Consequently, the cotton producers of the franc zone can lose out twice: when the price of cotton in dollars falls and when the euro appreciates against the dollar. To understand why an appreciation of the euro implies a decrease in the value of the dollar in CFA francs, let’s take an example. Suppose that 1 euro is exchanged for 1 dollar: based on this parity, 10 dollars will give 6,559.57 CFA francs (since 1 dollar = 1 euro = 655.957 CFA francs). Suppose now that the euro appreciates and that 1 euro is now exchanged for 2 dollars: this is equivalent to 1 dollar = 327.98 CFA francs; therefore, the equivalent of 10 dollars in CFA is now 3,279.8 CFA francs, a reduction that reflects the evolution of the euro–dollar exchange rate. — Fanny Pigeaud_ Ndongo Samba Sylla, Africa’s Last Colonial Currency, 642

Categorization

  • XREF: Explains the structural double-loss mechanism linking the peg to euro appreciation, echoing the 1994 devaluation debate. — connects to: The euro–dollar rate doubles the currency risk borne by franc-zone cotton producers.; The same strong euro that hurts France devastates African export competitiveness; Euro appreciation deteriorates franc zone trade balances — Fanny Pigeaud_ Ndongo Samba Sylla, Africa’s Last Colonial Currency, 299 (+3 more)

Broader Connections