Economists actively denied the crisis, not merely failed to predict it.
Evidence
19 “It’s not just that they missed it, they positively denied that it would happen” (Knowledge@Wharton, “Why Economists Failed to Predict the Financial Crisis”). Compare this with an unfounded apologetic version of events: “It is impossible to predict a stock market collapse … [yet] there were many economists who did see that something was seriously wrong: they anticipated that a crash was virtually inevitable” (Backhouse, The Puzzle of Modern Economics, p. 94). Backhouse, a historian, declines to name any of those prescient souls. — Philip Mirowski, Never Let a Serious Crisis Go to Waste, 2180
Categorization
- QUESTION: Who are the ‘many economists’ Backhouse claims saw the crash? His failure to name them is a telling omission worth chasing.
- XREF: connects to: Mainstream economists admit failure to predict the crisis but resist overhauling the discipline — Philip Mirowski, Never Let a Serious Crisis Go to Waste, 517; Chicago economists deny the crisis falsified their core theories — Philip Mirowski, Never Let a Serious Crisis Go to Waste, 718; The financial system failed to foresee crisis because its risk theory denied catastrophes — Mark Blyth, Austerity: The History of a Dangerous…, 100 (+3 more)
Broader Connections
- Chicago economists deny the crisis falsified their core theories
#exemplifies(0.85) — Philip Mirowski, Never Let a Serious Crisis Go to Waste, 718 - Mainstream economists defended their failure by calling crises tautologically unpredictable.
#exemplifies(0.85) — Philip Mirowski, Never Let a Serious Crisis Go to Waste, 2190 - Mainstream economists admit failure to predict the crisis but resist overhauling the discipline
#qualifies(0.80) — Philip Mirowski, Never Let a Serious Crisis Go to Waste, 517 - Economists defended failed prediction by asserting contradictory claims at once
#expands(0.80) — Philip Mirowski, Never Let a Serious Crisis Go to Waste, 697 - The financial system failed to foresee crisis because its risk theory denied catastrophes
#expands(0.75) — Mark Blyth, Austerity, 100