Decision weights distort even subjectively assessed, vague probabilities

Evidence

Although the description of π has involved stated numerical probabilities, it can be extended to events whose probabilities are subjectively assessed or verbally implied. In these situations, however, the decision weights may also be affected by the vagueness or other details of the choice. — John T. Jost and Jim Sidanius, Political Psychology, 2495

Categorization

  • XREF: Extends the framing-effects theme from the preceding paragraph 2486 about how framing data carries political consequences — both are about the same underlying malleability of judgment. — connects to: Salience heuristics, not logical weight, routinely drive human judgment. — John T. Jost and Jim Sidanius, Political Psychology: Key Readings, 1498