Critical thresholds on irrational-attack probabilities trigger joint attack.
Evidence
The limits to the values of our two parameters, Pr and Pc, beyond which they make the situation unstable and provoke joint attack, are—letting h stand for the value obtained by unilateral surprise attack, –h the value obtained by being attacked while not attacking, 0 the value obtained by simultaneous attack, and 1.0 the value of joint no-attack, for each player— — Thomas C. Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict, 477
Categorization
- DEFINE: Defines Schelling’s payoff parametrization for the surprise-attack problem (h, h‑, 0, 1.0), the scaffolding for the claim and later results.
- XREF: connects to: Automated targeting thresholds centralize atrocity into a single parameter-setting decision.