Africa’s population will more than double by midcentury, concentrated in the poorest states

Evidence

With an average birthrate of 5.2 children per woman, Africa is undergoing the fastest population growth in the world (Pflanz, 2013). Africa’s population will more than double from 1.1 billion to over 2.4 billion by midcentury. Most of this population growth will be in the poorest sub-Saharan countries. Niger is an illustrative case of the negative multiplicative power of soaring population growth. This nation has a large, young population with an average fertility rate of 5.5 children. One half of Niger women are entering their peak childbearing years (Rosenthal, 2012). In rural areas the fertility rate is over seven children, with traditional-minded men wanting a dozen as the ideal. The nation’s current population of 170 million is crammed into a small country and projected to soar to 400 million by midcentury. — Albert Bandura, Moral Disengagement, 2650

Categorization

  • QUESTION: The passage seems internally inconsistent — Niger’s population is stated as 170 million, which is far above Niger’s actual population of roughly 25 million; worth verifying whether this figure is an error or refers to something else.
  • corroborated: 3 independent passages support this claim — Albert Bandura, Moral Disengagement: How People Do Harm…, 2650