A seemingly unshakable autocratic regime collapsed through converging domestic and international pressure

Evidence

Over the period from 1970 to 1995 as a whole, South Africa’s elaborate system of apartheid collapsed as black Africans and their nonblack allies mobilized against exploitation, foreign governments and organizations organized more effective boycotts; demands for black labor increased and undermined existing systems of segregation; both domestic and overseas investment in the South African economy declined precipitously; prosperous whites fled the country; the ruling National Party itself split over competing programs of containment and accommodation; and some 30 percent of Afrikaner members left the party. — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 542

Categorization

• QUESTION: The National Party split and 30% Afrikaner defection is a striking specific — is this the accommodationist side later winning, and does it bear on Tilly’s democracy-moves claim that splits broaden political participation?
• corroborated: 2 independent passages support this claim — Charles Tilly, Regimes and Repertoires, 542
• XREF: connects to: Autocratic rule suppressed ethnic conflict that resurfaced after regime overthrow — Albert Bandura, Moral Disengagement: How People Do Harm…, 2348; Revolutions happen when governmental weakness unblocks pressures, not when they are blocked; Sanctions entrench autocratic regimes by redirecting popular anger outward (+2 more)

Broader Connections

• Revolutions happen when governmental weakness unblocks pressures, not when they are blocked #corroborates (0.85)
• Sanctions entrench autocratic regimes by redirecting popular anger outward #complicates (0.78)
• Institutions once deemed inevitable became unthinkable through political struggle #corroborates (0.74) — Davis, Angela Y, Are Prisons Obsolete, 57
• Autocratic rule suppressed ethnic conflict that resurfaced after regime overthrow #expands (0.72) — Albert Bandura, Moral Disengagement, 2348
• Autocratic rule can suppress ethnic conflicts that resurface after regime change. #expands (0.72)